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Tuesday Tropics Update


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special outlook issued to update the discussion of the low pressure 
area over the central subtropical Atlantic. 

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Lisa, located over the central Caribbean Sea.

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Updated:  Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become 
better organized overnight in association with a non-tropical area 
of low pressure located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional 
development, and the system is likely to become a tropical or 
subtropical storm within the next day or so while it moves generally 
east-northeastward.  By late Wednesday night or early Thursday, the 
system is expected to become fully extratropical and merge with a 
larger non-tropical low over the north-central Atlantic.  For more 
information on this system, including Gale Warnings, see High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

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