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Thursday Tropics Update

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

 Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
An area of low pressure located inland over northeastern Nicaragua 
is accompanied by a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. 
Additional development is unlikely today while the low remains 
inland. The system is forecast to move slowly northwestward and 
could emerge over the Gulf of Honduras where some development is 
possible by Friday. Some development is also possible over the 
southern Bay of Campeche by early next week. Regardless of 
development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over Nicaragua, 
Honduras, Belize, and southeastern Mexico through the weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



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