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Thursday Afternoon Tropics Update

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
upgraded Tropical Storm Danielle, located about 950 miles west of 
the Azores.

1. East of the Leeward Islands:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands 
have recently decreased in coverage. Although environmental 
conditions remain only marginally conducive, any additional 
development of the system over the next few days would lead to the 
formation of a tropical depression.  The disturbance is forecast to 
move slowly west-northwestward, toward the adjacent waters of the 
northern Leeward Islands.  Additional information on this system can 
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Satellite imagery and surface observations show that a broad area 
of low pressure is located over and to the northwest of the Cabo 
Verde Islands.  The associated shower activity has diminished 
through the day. There is still some chance for the system to 
become a short-lived tropical depression within the next day or so 
before environmental conditions become unfavorable for further 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



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