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Sunday Tropics Update

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located well to the east of Bermuda 
continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. 
Although environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive 
for development during the next few days, the disturbance could 
still acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics while it 
moves generally west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the 
subtropical Atlantic. By the middle part of this week, further 
development appears unlikely as the system turns northward over the 
cooler waters of the northwestern Atlantic and encounters stronger 
upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



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