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Saturday Tropics Update

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential 
Tropical Cyclone Four, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico..
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic: 
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa 
later today and tonight.  Environmental conditions are expected to 
be marginally conducive for gradual development of this system 
while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 15 to 20 mph 
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic during the early 
to middle part of next week. 

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



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