For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Eastern Caribbean:
A broad area of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by early next week while the disturbance moves slowly
westward or west-northwestward over the central Caribbean Sea.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over
portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico
through this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
2. Western Atlantic:
A low pressure area located about 150 miles west-northwest of
Bermuda is producing some shower and thunderstorm activity to the
north of the center as it begins to interact with a nearby frontal
system. Upper-level winds are forecast to increase over the system
later today and tonight, and further development is not anticipated
after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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