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Friday Tropics Update

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Earl, located about 100 miles southeast of Bermuda.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic: 
A gale-force low pressure system located about 1200 miles east of 
the Leeward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms that are displaced well to the northeast of the 
circulation center due to strong upper-level winds.  Although the 
upper-level winds are expected to remain strong, the low still has 
some opportunity during the next day or so to become a short-lived 
tropical cyclone while moving toward the west-northwest at about 15 
mph into the central subtropical Atlantic.  For more information on 
this system, including gale warnings, please refer to the High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the Cabo 
Verde Islands is producing a disorganized area of showers and 
thunderstorms.  Development of this system, if any, is expected to 
be slow to occur while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 
15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic 
through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



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