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Friday Tropics Update

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure is emerging over the southwestern Gulf 
of Mexico and it continues to produce disorganized shower activity. 
Environmental conditions appear favorable for slow development, and 
a tropical depression could form while the system moves 
northwestward across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico late today or 
on Saturday. However, by Saturday night, the system is expected to 
move inland over northeastern Mexico, which will end its chances of 
development. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 
scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.



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